Nigeria recorded no aviation fuel imports between June 2025 and June 2026, while Dangote Petroleum Refinery exported an average of 21.30 million litres of Aviation Turbine Kerosene (ATK) daily in August 2026, according to a review of Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) data by petroleumprice.ng.
The refinery produced 24.48 million litres of aviation fuel daily in August, with exports accounting for most of its reported output. Domestic receipts stood at 3.07 million litres per day, while closing stock reached 133.3 million litres.
The NMDPRA’s August factsheet put national ATK stock sufficiency at 82.3 days, well above the regulator’s minimum benchmark of 30 days.
However, the August factsheet did not provide a separate figure for ATK imports. The zero-import position recorded between June 2025 and June 2026 therefore cannot be independently confirmed beyond June this year.
The earlier NMDPRA data showed that oil marketing companies recorded no ATK imports during the 13-month period, indicating that domestic refineries accounted for all reported aviation fuel receipts within that timeframe.
Dangote’s August figures also highlight the scale of its overseas aviation fuel trade relative to domestic receipts. The refinery exported 21.30 million litres daily, equivalent to about 87 per cent of reported production, while domestic receipts represented approximately 12.5 per cent.
Its daily export volume was nearly seven times the quantity recorded as received by the domestic market.
Production and the two reported outflows did not fully reconcile. Exports and domestic receipts totalled 24.37 million litres daily, leaving a difference of 110,000 litres against reported production. The factsheet did not explain the variance.
Meanwhile, domestic ATK receipts increased from 1.9 million litres per day in July to 3.1 million litres in August, representing a rise of about 63 per cent.
Daily consumption also rose, climbing from 2.3 million litres to 2.8 million litres, an increase of approximately 22 per cent. Consequently, the difference between receipts and consumption shifted from a daily deficit of 400,000 litres in July to a surplus of 300,000 litres in August.
Despite the increase, reported consumption remained 200,000 litres below the NMDPRA’s daily benchmark of three million litres.
The regulator calculates consumption using volumes trucked out into the domestic market. The measure does not directly establish how much fuel aircraft burned or whether airlines experienced unmet demand.
At 82.3 days, ATK recorded the highest stock coverage among the four major petroleum products assessed in the August factsheet. Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), or diesel, recorded 51.6 days of stock sufficiency, while Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, stood at 22.9 days. Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) recorded 17.2 days.
The figures placed aviation fuel and diesel above the regulator’s 30-day stock benchmark, while petrol and cooking gas remained below it.
The factsheet reported no production from NNPCL refineries during the period and described modular refineries as shut down or not producing in the relevant refinery-performance section. However, it did not attribute ATK production or domestic receipts to individual NNPCL or modular refinery facilities.
Dangote was therefore the only refinery for which the August report provided a specific breakdown of ATK production, exports, domestic receipts and closing stock.
The data indicate that domestic refining has become the source of all reported ATK receipts during the period covered by the earlier import figures. However, the absence of recorded imports does not, on its own, establish that locally refined aviation fuel is consistently available or affordable.
Similarly, the national stock-sufficiency figure does not show how available volumes are distributed across individual airports or identify the destinations and buyers of Dangote’s exported fuel.
Further data on ATK imports after June 2026, export destinations, supplier-level domestic deliveries, airport inventories, and prices would be needed to assess how the shift towards domestic refining is affecting aviation fuel availability and costs for Nigerian airlines.